November 29, 2017

I had said before we should get ready for craziness to go up a notch where Trump is concerned.  The thing is, I was assuming his insanity would be prodded by further external forces.  Actual, serious actions.  No such direct attack on Trump is evident.  Sure, there is further erosion at the seams based on the ineffectiveness of this administration, but no direct, particular challenge political, criminal, or otherwise.

…And yet, since this weekend to today, Trump has submerged deep into madness at a very concerning depth.  Many people: newscasters, politicians, and Joe Blow on the street, are openly wondering about Trump’s grip on reality.

I had said before, somewhat poetically, how Trump prefers to operate in the dreamworld of his creation (going to quote myself : )-

The clear fact is, Trump does not operate from a foundation of principal or some moral guiding light or any desire to do “good” for the people. Trump navigates through this world based on his own selfish feelings. He is the dreamer and the dream. It is baffling and frustrating to him when the world is not exactly as he wants it to be…as it should be.
The world is supposed to be a carnival candyland of his riches and playthings, young models and fawning sycophants; a dreamscape of easy battles to be won and a collection of enviable wealth. There should be shills at the beck-and-call to do the dirty work and handle the niggling details of garnering the gold plated wealth displayed in gold plated festoonery as Trump sits leering from his gold plated high-chair. The shills should forcibly bow down the masses to Trump’s righteous desires to be adored without question and lusted after by the nubile and envied by all men who could never be his equal. The damaged-vessel boy king; heir to the throne, before whom we should all swear fealty and recognize that the objects of Trump’s feelings are the backdrop to this here-and-now creation of Trump’s dreamworld that we only inhabit at his whim. This is as it should be. What he feels right now, at this very moment, is the only thing that truly matters.

It honestly feels to me as if Trump is finding it more increasingly difficult to deal with reality and is more frequently retreating to his fantasyland where everything is exactly as it should be.  His little pep rally today, which was ostensibly about tax reform, was actually about his retreat to the unreal and the safety that he finds there.  He was adored as he is supposed to be.  He got to retell the tall tales of how he won and how he will continue to win and the win streak will likely never end.

It feels as if we’ve come to the precipice of Trump’s sanity and should be concerned about what might happen next when an actual, real, perceivable threat to his person surfaces, whether that is via Mueller or a true international incident that challenges his ability to govern.  I don’t feel overly concerned about his access to nuclear weapons at this time, because I feel confident that sane people around him would ignore procedure and not allow him access to any such weapons.

I am more anxious and desiring of anyone anyone in the White House staff, coming forward and saying, “This is enough.”  “We cannot trust this man and here is why.”  At some point someone has to feel concerned for our nation, don’t they?

We don’t need to go over his tweets today, they are pure insanity.  We have further leaks from somewhere within the administration, that Trump is revisiting whether or not Obama was actually born in the US again.  It’s spun as a political calculation to effect an event that has already passed: the election.  Even if the truth is that Trump is considering how he can revisit the past and change it, and not questioning whether or not obvious facts (facts he has already admitted to) are real, that is insanity too.  Either way it’s insane.

I think…tomorrow…tomorrow if we get more of the same insanity, we may deduce he cannot find his way back to something resembling reality.  I would suggest staff around him try to schedule a little more dense activity that keeps him interacting with people.  Schedules like this, don’t help:

f8f32faf-8cbd-477d-a890-cf23e0f378e2.png

Advertisements

Let the Budget Games begin

As outlined yesterday, with the proposed budget already being out of whack, tax reform set to add a ridiculous amount to our deficit, and Trump and the Republican’s desires to enforce particular types of boundaries to a needed spending bill to save the government from shutdown, there’s massive difficulties ahead for any type of consensus.

It isn’t this tweet that stalled a meeting today as is being reported:

b1e23255-4bd9-45d0-a623-ac96e82387d7.png

Nah.  No matter how often it’s said or by whom, it wasn’t another dumbass tweet that did Trump in.  This much later tweet is a little closer to the truth.

af086d2c-32e3-4a56-8b3a-fcf596c3c0bf.png

You can find the truth in what actually happened from extracting, “I don’t see a deal,” from the first tweet before the meeting and listening to this part of what the twitterer-in-chief said from where the meeting was to have taken place.

 

 

It’s clear they had already spoken about what the deal was going to be…and just like I outlined yesterday, the Republicans want to pay BIGLY for more guns and stuff, and the Dems said, well sure as long as we match dollar for dollar on all the social programs you want to underfund.  Trump said, we want to hold DACA hostage for my original  list of demands, which looks like this:

1.Ensure funding for the southern border wall and associated infrastructure.

2. Loopholes in current law prevent “Unaccompanied Alien Children” (UACs) that arrive in the country illegally from being removed. Rather than being deported, they are instead sheltered by the Department of Health and Human Services at taxpayer expense

3. Ensure swift Border returns.

i.Seek appropriations to hire an additional 370 immigration judges.
ii. Establish performance metrics for immigration judges.
iii. Seek appropriations to hire an additional 1,000 U.S. Immigration and Customs
Enforcement (ICE) attorneys, with sufficient support personnel.
iv. Ensure sufficient resources for detention
4. Sanctuary Cities. Hundreds of sanctuary jurisdictions release dangerous criminals and empower violent cartels like MS-13 by refusing to turn over incarcerated criminal aliens to Federal authorities. Therefore, the Administration proposes blocking sanctuary cities from receiving certain grants or cooperative agreements administered or awarded by the Departments of Justice and Homeland Security.
5. Necessary Resources.
i. Seek appropriations to hire an additional 10,000 ICE officers.
ii.Seek appropriations to hire an additional 300 Federal prosecutors to support Federal immigration prosecution efforts.
iii. Reforms to help expedite the responsible addition of new ICE personnel
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2017/images/10/08/final.immigration.priorities.10.08.17.pdf

You getting the picture?

This is why Trump throws out lines like, “They’re weak on crime,” or, “They want criminals and drugs just POURING through our borders.”  He says this because, this is what he laid on the table to “Chuck and Nancy” before the meeting and they probably responded with something along the lines of, “We won’t tie DACA to anything.”

Therefore, on these grounds, no meeting took place.  All terms are unacceptable to both parties.  So…no, the Democrats are not holding any negotiations hostage, the Republicans and Trump are.  We knew this was going to happen, and here it is and everyone’s so damned surprised!  SHOCKING.

The next step, as mentioned yesterday is paring down how much of the Republican demands will be met dollar for dollar with social programs and how long or far Republicans are willing to hold DACA hostage to the outrageous terms.  They still haven’t held CHIP officially hostage, but oh they will my friends.  I can guar-an-fucking-tee it.

To the Trump administration, the Democrats refusal to sign into law awful legislation is seen to be an act of obstruction.  To the Trump administration, the job of Congress is to rubber-stamp whatever piece of shit Trump wants. (remember the Bush shaming into the Iraq war? You’re not a patriot if you don’t sign up for war.)

What will follow all the debates about what over spending we are about to put in omnibus legislation, is the sequestration process.  This might take some time, but eventually Republicans will say, “Hm…we seem to be in a bit of a quagmire from all this overspending, the only thing we can do now is cut all social programs significantly.”

 

 

November 28, 2017

Now we see the fruits of our labors.  Less than nothing.  We all knew that among the many, many issues with the incoming administration, one of the most important issues would be: an inability to govern.  Couple that with Republican Congresspeople finding themselves in the unusual position of being in the drivers seat and totally unfamiliar with how a car operates.  They became overused to being the obstruction party and simply do not possess the tools to govern our nation.  They haven’t the knowledge, they don’t have the desire, and they lack any consensus among themselves.

Congress now has an overabundance of difficulties to address in a ridiculously short time.  All of the difficulties were completely unnecessary and generated entirely by the incompetence of the White House and Congress.

Government Shutdown Dec 8th as funding expires.  As you will recall Democrats refused to push this back to after midterm elections so that Republicans could sidestep the issue.

DACA expiration.  Trump made this an issue by, for no reason whatsoever, doing away with the original dreamers act, and threw it at Congress.  “Here, you fix my petulance and stupidity.”

CHIP expiration.  Congress just let the insurance for 9 MILLION poor children (OUR CHILDREN!) expire for no reason at all.

Iran Nuclear Deal.  Again, ripped up for no good reason whatsoever.  As I have mentioned before, I wouldn’t be surprised if Congress does not fix this screw up for Trump.  Seriously, send it back to him and let him certify it or not.  It can’t be renegotiated, no new terms will be accepted.  To even offer terms, just gives Iran all the more reason to leave the agreement with all of the remaining reasonable parties to the contract.

And…..tax reform.

Congress has 12 legislative days to fix all of this.

If it doesn’t seem like this is an impossible task, it is going to be made much worse by the distinctly different ways in which the two parties will approach the issues.  As mentioned before, Paul Ryan said CHIP won’t be attached to any year end spending bills, but…but, Republicans are discussing among themselves what will be attached to CHIP.  They want to attach the Public Health Fund from the ACA to CHIP, so that that would be how it is funded. In other words, several hundred thousand people would lose their health insurance to pay for the health insurance of poor kids.

Republicans have made statements of wanting to tie DACA to everything from funding the wall, to new enforcements on “sanctuary cities” to enhanced monitoring.  There’s virtually no chance this is going to be a stand alone bill.  Hell, it may have a bunch of garbage tied to it and also be tied to the omnibus spending bill to keep the government from shutting down.  Just to make extra super certain that Democrats have to swallow it with a poison pill.

If we refer to the budget as laid out by the Trump Administration, there will be a sizable increase in military spending and associated programs, and a decrease in everything else.  If we refer to the current tax reform bill as it stands in both houses, there will be a significant addition to the federal deficit which will, of it’s own accord, kick in the sequestration process from the Budget Control Act making necessary further cuts in discretionary spending (defense and non-defense).

Congress will thereby find themselves in a catch-22.  You want to increase Defense spending?  Well then, the Democrats want to increase social programs dollar for dollar.  You want to further increase the debt substantially?  Then your own Republicans won’t vote for the tax plan or the extended funding.

I’m sure they’ll come up with a patchwork for extending funding through midterms.  But it’s not going to be pretty and no one is going to be happy.

All of this mess could have easily been avoided if we had intelligent people running our government.  But…we don’t.

Daca shouldn’t have been touched.  It was already proving to be a win-win situation.

The Iran Nuclear deal, shouldn’t have been touched.

CHIP should have been refunded just like it was every year with total bipartisan support as a stand-alone piece of legislation.

And Trump, you fucktard.   If you had promoted simple tax reform that made modest improvements to the corporate rates with some of the existing loopholes closed (they were already paying an effective rate of 18.5% for crying out loud), and opened up incentives through new deductions based on credits for actual growth, we wouldn’t be in this fucking mess.  But nah, the only people that ever mattered were the billionaire donors and Republicans just couldn’t let the moment pass to show how they could fuck up puckering their lips and kissing the Koch brother’s assholes.

You could have had an easy win with spectacular reviews and tremendous poll numbers.  YOU WOULD HAVE BEEN WINNING!!!

 

b6a38beb-c77d-4d50-9e9d-ff09ddc450af.png

Oh…Oh!  Some of the changes will be mathematical?  You mean like….with numbers and stuff?  Daaaaamn….that’s gotta be some complicated shit dawg.

November 26, 2017

 

Trump has been a really irritating turd on tweeter the past couple of days.  We could pick any number of reasons why he is lashing out.  Some people are theorizing that Mueller is about to come down with some more indictments and I suppose they are implying that the Trump administration is aware of this.  That’s possible.  This tweet seems to make that plausible.

bb04f40b-190f-4ccd-b58b-3ec17c287f27.png

It was pointed out, by many news outlets, that the source of this retweet from Trump:

d2d6eb98-0bce-44f9-9c0d-988034c6a3bb.png

Is from a racist, xenophobic, conspiracy theorist.  Take a quick look at the garbage he pushes.  Yeah.  He’s an Alex Jones type.  It’s utter trash.  This isn’t the first time Trump has retweeted from a garbage source and there’s no reason to think this will be the last.

 

Now…I’m hearing from several different places that there is about to be a release of new vid(s) or audio of Trump being a crudball.  I do firmly believe that Russia has incriminating footage of Trump that they will release at the right time, that being right before midterms or before the 2020 election.  Not now.  We all can assume that “The Apprentice” has all kinds of clips of Trump being a pig.  It was reported recently by an associate producer that, yes…those tapes exist.  It is also being reported that Trump is setting up a counter narrative for any such future tapes being released, by creating this new story that it wasn’t even his voice on the “Access Hollywood” tape and therefore any future tape being released would similarly be questionable.  This is the tried-and-true “creation of a counter narrative is of equal weight to any allegation and therefore negates the discussion entirely” stance that has worked so well for Trump in the past and is being utilized by Roy Moore to decent effect.

This paragraph from a recent NY Times Piece is being picked up on:

“But something deeper has been consuming Mr. Trump. He sees the calls for Mr. Moore to step aside as a version of the response to the now-famous “Access Hollywood” tape, in which he boasted about grabbing women’s genitalia, and the flood of groping accusations against him that followed soon after. He suggested to a senator earlier this year that it was not authentic, and repeated that claim to an adviser more recently. (In the hours after it was revealed in October 2016, Mr. Trump acknowledged that the voice was his, and he apologized.)”

I find it hard to believe that Trump is creating the new narrative to deal with a future problem simply because- Trump is not capable of any such subtle manipulations.  It’s very unlikely.  The quotes themselves are picked from entirely different and unrelated time periods.  So…no.  It is possible something new might come out but it isn’t going to be from the Russians, it isn’t going to be from “The Apprentice” because of NDAs, and it will be totally coincidental wherever it may come from.

The Moore-Jones situation in Alabama is proceeding nicely, so long as no one rocks the boat and Jones keeps his negative ads running in Alabama.  It’s literally a no-win situation for Congressional Republicans if all things remain as they are.  If you’re like me, you have a feeling one of the women will make a timely appearance on “The View” or some such program any time soon and to great effect.  As long as no Democratic politicians go on some damned crusade, this is going to be good.

November 23, 2017

Happy New Years!

I hope you are enjoying your Thanksgiving and all that junk.  I’ve been busy with Family stuff and haven’t had much time to stomach Donny.

I think, sometimes we’d prefer to deal with wide ranging issues, the broader strokes, rather than the daily stupidity that is this administration.  However painful it is, we have to examine the details of this administration’s purposeful dismantling and destruction of our freedoms, our environment, our social fabric, and our relationship with the world point-by-point, so that we have facts at hand to refer to and not just feelings.

Happily, Trump’s tacit endorsement of Roy Moore is both a broad stroke and a point of reference.  As a point of reference, the last time Trump spoke about Moore was when Trump was flying back from his triumphant Asian tour on November 11th:

Q If we could ask you about Roy Moore. Is it time to pitch him overboard?

PRESIDENT TRUMP: Well, again, I’ve been with you folks, so I haven’t gotten to see too much. And believe it or not, even when I’m in Washington and New York, I do not watch much television. I know they like to say — people that don’t know me, they like to say I watch television. People with fake sources — you know, fake reporters, fake sources. But I don’t get to watch much television, primarily because of documents. I’m reading documents a lot, and different things.

I actually read much more — I read you people much more than I watch television. But anyway — but so I have not seen very much about him, about it. And, you know, I put out a statement yesterday that he’ll do the right thing, that — he was interviewed.

That’s it.  “He’ll do the right thing.”  Twelve days later he makes a statement on the White house lawn.  “He totally denies it and, you know,  you have to listen to him also.”  Which is the patented- creation of an alternate argument is equally as valid as the original claim and therefore, being of equal weight, negates the entire discussion itself.  “Fine people on both sides”.  End of story.

If I transcribed the mess of a word salad from this quick interview, it would easily eclipse the November 11th, Airforce-One interview, for incomprehension, absence of facts, and verbal vomit.

“He, let me just tell you, Roy Moore denies it, and by the way-he totally denies it.”

“Well he denies, I mean Roy Moore denies it, and by the way, he gives a total denial, and I do have to say, forty years is a long time, he’s run eight races and this has never come up, so forty years is a long time. The women are Trump voters, most of them are Trump voters.  All you can do is you have to do what you have to do.  He totally denies it.”

WTF?

In reference to Roy Moore’s opponent, Doug Jones:

“We don’t need a liberal person in there, a democrat (pause)…Jones.  I’ve looked at his record, he’s terrible on…” then Trump rattle off Kellyanne Conway’s talking points about Jones.  Trump just barely barely remembered Jones name.  He didn’t look at Jones’ record.  He doesn’t know shit about Doug Jones.

Truly awful, no-fact, nonsense about the wave of sexual misconduct allegations, “Women are very special and I think it’s a special time…and I think it’s very very good for women.”  It’s like listening to a child.

Standing back, and looking at this interview in terms of a broad stroke, what an awful miscalculation.  It was/is in both parties interests to just let this thing play out.  The Democrats are doing an awesome job so far.  I pray to God no one from the Democratic side gets on a pulpit and starts proselytizing and demanding immediate justice and recompense.

Trump’s statement of favorable regard for Roy Moore, merely so that the Senate could maintain it’s slight edge for Republicans for one damn year, is myopic to the nth degree.  There was absolutely no need for this.  Trump should have maintained something as tepid as, “If the allegations prove to be true…,” rather than endorsement of a poison pill for Republicans.  The damage this is going to do to the Republican Party cannot be overstated.

The outcome of midterm elections is already being slightly tilted towards Democrats, but this…this as an added talking point about what Republicans stand for, is a Christmas gift that is going to keep giving for some time.

If everything remains as it is, Doug Jones has a decent chance of winning this seat…but let’s not kid ourselves, it’s only for a year. : )

*******************************

I did catch some of Rachel Maddow last night.  She did an interesting piece about gerrymandering and the statistically difficult task it is for Democrats to win statewide seats in some states.  Democrats have to outvote Republicans by wide margins to even have a chance to win some seats in many cases and that’s just sad.

Rachel highlighted the recent attempt by the Trump administration to use the upcoming census data to further rig elections in favor of Republicans by installing a pro-gerrymandering numbskull into office to oversee the manipulation of the data gathered.

“The Trump administration is leaning toward naming Thomas Brunell, a Texas professor with no government experience, to the top operational job at the U.S. Census Bureau, according to two people who have been briefed on the bureau’s plans.

Brunell, a political science professor, has testified more than half a dozen times on behalf of Republican efforts to redraw congressional districts, and is the author of a 2008 book titled “Redistricting and Representation: Why Competitive Elections Are Bad for America.”

https://www.politico.com/story/2017/11/21/trump-census-pick-causes-alarm-252571

Yeah, that’s their man right there.  Another no-experience ideologue to run an arm of the government.  The Administration has no plans to fill, what would be a Congressionally approved seat, to oversee the census.  Nah.  They’ll leave that vacant and install this shit as the #2 man, because that position is not approved by Congress.  Clever, huh?

 

Oh and…get a load of Melania Trump.

No.  Not gonna go stand over by idiot and have anything at all to do with this conversation.  No Sirree.

9f95d9d9-00b9-458f-a5f3-c3e80bf1f555.png